You are nearly my namesake
-- having a Romanized version of my Hellenized name. You are dubbed a
"warrior" or "counter-insurgency intellectual". I hold credentials as
an "insurgency intellectual" or as Alex Cockburn calls it "a
fifty-year membership in the class struggle". Publicists have billed
you as "America's last best hope for salvation
(of the empire) in Iraq."
Predictably the Democrats in Congress led by Senator Clinton went down to their
knees in praise and support of your professionalism and war record in Northern
Iraq. So let it be recognized that you enjoy an advantage: the support of both
parties, the White House, Congress and the mass media. But still being an
insurgent intellectual, I am not convinced that you will or should succeed in
saving Iraq for the empire. Better still; I think you undoubtedly will fail,
because your military assumptions and strategies are based on
fundamentally flawed political analyses, which have
profound military consequences.
Let us start with your much-vaunted military successes in North Iraq --
especially in Nineveh province. North Iraq, particularly, Nineveh, is dominated
by the Kurdish military and tribal leaders and party bosses. The relative
stability of the region has little or nothing to do with your counter-insurgency
prowess and more to do with the high degree of Kurdish "independence" or
"separatism" in the region. Put bluntly, the US and
Israeli military and financial backing of Kurdish separatism has created a de
facto independent Kurdish state, one based on the brutal ethnic purging of large
concentrations of Turkmen and Arab citizens.
General Petraeus, by giving license to Kurdish irredentist aspirations for an
ethnically purified "Greater Kurdistan", encroaching on Turkey, Iran and Syria,
you secured the loyalty of the Kurdish militias and especially the deadly
Peshmerga "special forces" in eliminating resistance to the US occupation in
Nineveh. Moreover, the Peshmerga has provided the US with special units to
infiltrate the Iraqi resistance groups, to provoke
intra-communal strife through incidents of terrorism against the civilian
population. In other words, General Petreaus,
"success" in Northern Iraq is not replicable in the rest of Iraq. In fact your
very success in carving off Kurd-dominated Iraq has heightened hostilities in
the rest of the country.
Your theory of "securing and holding" territory presumes a highly motivated and
reliable military force capable of withstanding hostility from at least eighty
percent of the colonized population. The fact of the matter is that the morale
of US soldiers in Iraq and those scheduled to be sent to Iraq is very low. The
ranks of those who are seeking a quick exit from military service now include
career soldiers and non-commissioned officers -- the backbone of the military
(Financial Times, March 3-4, 2007 p.2) Unauthorized absences (AWOLs) have shot
up 14,000 between 2000-2005 (FT ibid). In March over a thousand active duty and
reserve soldiers and marines petitioned Congress for a US withdrawal from Iraq.
The opposition of retired and active Generals to Bush's escalation of troops
percolates down the ranks to the "grunts" on the ground, especially among
reservists on active duty whose tours of duty in Iraq have been repeatedly
extended (the "backdoor draft"). Demoralizing prolonged stays or rapid rotation
undermines any effort of "consolidating ties" between US and Iraqi officers and
certainly undermines most efforts to win the confidence of the local population.
If the US troops are deeply troubled by the war in Iraq and increasingly subject
to desertion and demoralization, how less reliable is the Iraqi mercenary army.
Iraqis recruited on the basis of hunger and unemployment (caused by the US war),
with kinship, ethnic and national ties to a free
and independent Iraq, do not make reliable
soldiers. Every serious expert has concluded that the divisions in Iraqi society
are reflected in the loyalties of the soldiers.
General Petraeus, count your troops everyday, because a few more will stray and
perhaps in the future you will face an empty drill field or worse a barrack
revolt. The continued high casualty rates among US soldiers and Iraqi civilians,
during your first month as Commander suggests that "holding and securing"
Baghdad failed to alter the overall situation.
Petraeus, your "rule book" prioritizes "security and task sharing as a means of
empowering civilians and prompting national reconciliation." "Security" is
elusive because what the US Commander considers "security" is the free movement
of US troops and collaborators based on the insecurity of the colonized Iraqi
majority. They are subject to arbitrary
house-to-house searches, break-ins and humiliating searches and arrests.
"Task Sharing" under a US General and his military forces is a euphemism for
Iraqi collaboration in "administrating" your orders. "Sharing" involves a highly
asymmetrical relation of power: the US orders and
the Iraqis comply. The US defines the "task" as
informing on insurgents and the population is
supposed to provide "information" on their families, friends and compatriots,
in other words betraying their own people.
It reads more feasible in your manual than on the ground.
"Empowering civilians", as you argue, assumes that those who "empower" give up
power to the "others". In other words, the US military cedes territory,
security, financial resource management and allocation to a colonized people.
Yet it is precisely these people who protect and support insurgents and oppose
the US occupation and its puppet regime. Otherwise, Commander, what you really
mean is "empowering" a small minority of civilians who are willing collaborators
of an occupying army. The civilian minority "empowered" by you will require
heavy US military protection to withstand retaliation.
So far nothing of the sort has occurred: no neighborhood
civilian collaborators have been delegated real power and those who have, are
dead, hiding or on the run.
Petraeus, your goal of "national reconciliation" presumes that Iraq exists as a
free sovereign nation. That is a precondition for reconciliation between warring
parties. But US colonization of Iraq is a blatant
denial of the conditions for reconciliation. Only
when Iraq frees itself of you, Commander Petraeus, and your army and the
dictates of the White House can the warring parties negotiate and seek
"conciliation". Only political groups who base themselves on Iraqi popular
sovereignty can be part of that process. Otherwise what you are really writing
about is the military imposition of "reconciliation" among warring collaborator
groups with no legitimacy among the Iraqi electorate.
Former Clintonite, Sarah Sewall (ex-Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense and
Harvard-based "foreign affairs expert") was ecstatic over your appointment. She
claims the "inadequate troop to task ratio" may undermine your strategy
(Guardian March 6, 2007). The "troop to task ratio" forms the entire basis of
Democratic Senators' Hilary Clinton and Charles Schumers' "critique" of Bush's
Iraq policy. Their solution is "send more troops".
This argument begs the question: Inadequate numbers
of troops reflects the massiveness of popular opposition to the US occupation.
The need to improve the "ratio" (greater number of troops) is
due to the level of mass opposition, directly related to
increasing neighborhood support for the Iraqi resistance.
If the majority of the population and the resistance did not oppose the imperial
armies, then any ratio would be adequate -- down to a few hundred soldiers
hanging out in the Green Zone, the US Embassy or some local brothels.
Your handbook's prescriptions borrow heavily from the Vietnam War era,
especially General Creighton Abram's, "Clear and Hold" counter-insurgency
doctrine. Abrams ordered a vast campaign of chemical warfare spraying thousands
of hectares with the deadly "Agent Orange" to "clear" contested terrain.
[Now witness the parallel genocide with Depleted Uranium -CR]
Abram
approved of the Phoenix Plan --
the systematic assassination of 25,000 village
leaders to "clear" out local insurgents.
Abrams implemented the program of
"strategic hamlets", the forced re-location of millions of Vietnamese peasants
into concentration camps. In the end Abram's plans to "clear and hold" failed
because each measure extended and deepened popular hostility and increased the
number of recruits to the Vietnamese national liberation army.
Petraeus, you are following the Abram's doctrine. Large-scale bombing of densely
populated Sunni neighborhoods took place between March 5-7 (2007); mass arrests
of suspected local leaders is accompanied by the tight military encirclement of
entire neighborhoods while arbitrary, abusive house-to-house searches turn
Baghdad into one big concentrations camp.
Like your predecessor, General
Creighton Abrams, you want to destroy Baghdad in order to save it. In fact your
policy is merely punishing the civilians and
deepening the hostility of the
Baghdad population, while the insurgents blend into the population or into the
surrounding provinces of Al-Anbar, Diyala, and Salah and Din. Petraeus, you
forget that you can "hold" a people hostage with armored vehicles but you cannot
rule with guns. The failure of General Creighton Abrams was not due to the lack
of "political will" in the US, as he complained, but that "clearing" a region is
temporary, because the insurgency is founded on its capacity to blend in with
the people.
Your fundamental (and false) assumptions are that the "people" and the
"insurgents" are two distinct and opposing groups, that your ground forces and
Iraqi mercenaries can distinguish and exploit this divergence and "clear out"
the insurgents and "hold" the people. The four-year history of the US invasion,
occupation and imperial war provides
ample evidence to the contrary.
With upward
of 140,000 US troops and close to 200,000 Iraqi and over 50,000 foreign
mercenaries unable to defeat the insurgency for the entire four years of the
colonial war,
the evidence points to very strong, extensive and sustained
civilian support for the insurgency.
The high ratio of civilian to insurgent killings by the combined US-mercenary
armies suggests that your own troops
have not been able to distinguish (nor are
interested in the difference) between civilians and insurgents.
The insurgency
draws strong support from extended kin ties, neighborhood friends and neighbors,
religious leaders, nationalists and patriots: these primary, secondary and
tertiary ties
bind the insurgency to the population in a way which can not be
replicated by the US military or its puppet politicians.
General, you have already recognized after only one month as Commander that your
plan to "protect and secure the civilian population" is failing. While you flood
the streets of Baghdad with armored vehicles, you acknowledge that the "anti-government" forces
are regrouping north of the capital?. You are condemned to play what Lt. General
Robert Gaid un-poetically called "whack-a-mole":
Insurgents will be suppressed in
one area only to re-emerge somewhere else.
It is presumptuous to assume, General, that the Iraqi civilian population does
not know that the "special operations" forces of the Occupation, with whom you
are rather intimately connected,
is responsible for much of the ethno-religious
conflict. Investigative reporter Max Fuller in his detailed examination of
documents, stresses that the vast majority of atrocities -- attributed to "rogue"
Shiite or Sunni militias -- were in fact
the work of government-controlled commandos of "special forces", trained by the
Americans, "advised" by Americans and "run largely by former CIA agents"
(Chris Floyd "Ulster
on the Euphrates: The Anglo-American Dirty War", <http://www.truthout.org/docs>
Your attempt to play "Good Cop/Bad Cop" in order to
"divide and rule" hasn't
gone well, nor will it succeed now.
You have recognized the broader political context of the war! "There is no
military solution to a problem like that in Iraq, to the insurgency. In Iraq,
military action is necessary to help improve security -- but it is insufficient.
There needs to be a political aspect" (BBC 3/8/2007). Yet the key
"political aspect" as you put it, is the
reduction, not escalation, of US
troops, the ending of the endless assaults on civilian neighborhoods, the
termination of the special operations and assassinations designed to foment
ethnic-religious conflict, and above all a timetable to withdraw US troops and
dismantle the chain of US military bases.
General Petraeus, you are not willing or in a position to implement or design
the appropriate political context for ending the conflict. Your reference to the
"need to engage in talks with some groups of insurgents" will fall on deaf ears,
or be seen as a continuation of the divide and conquer (or
"salami") tactics,
which have thus far failed to attract any sector of the insurgency. Contrary to
your impeccable Princeton/West Point academic counter-insurgency credentials,
you are mainly a tactician, wise on technique, but rather
mediocre in coming to
grips with the "decolonization" political framework in which your tactics might
work.
Commander Petraeus, you are quick to grasp the difficulty of your colonial
mission. Just a month after taking command, you are engaging in the same
sophistry and double discourse of any "bush" colonel. To keep the flow of funds
and troops from Washington you talk of the "reduction of killings and discontent
in Baghdad", cleverly omitting the increase of civilian and US deaths elsewhere.
You mention "a few encouraging signs" but also admit that it is "too early to
discern significant trends" (Aljazeera 3/8/2007). In other words the
"encouraging signs" are of no importance!
Already you have given yourself an open-ended mission by extending the time
frame for your Baghdad security crackdown from days and weeks to "months" (and
beyond?). Isn't that a coy way to prepare US politicians for prolonged warfare
with few positive results? There is nothing wrong with a philosopher warrior
covering his ass in anticipation of failure.
General, I am sure as a military intellectual you have read George Orwell's "1984" because you are so fluent in double-speak. In one breath you speak of
"no
immediate need to request more US troops to be sent to Iraq" (other than the
21,500 on their way): On the other hand you request an extra 2,200 military
policemen to deal with the forthcoming massive incarceration of Baghdad civilian
suspects.
By "honest talk", about troop numbers in the present tense for your war, you
prepare the ground for a greater escalation in the proximate future. "Right now
we do not see other requests (for troops) looming out there. That's not to say
that some emerging mission or emerging task will not require that, and if it
does then we will ask for that." (my emphasis) (AlJazeera, 3/8/2006).
First there's a "surge" then there is an "emerging mission" and before we know it,
there are another fifty thousand troops on the ground in the meat-grinder
that is Iraq.
Yes, General, you are a fine master of "double speak" but beyond that you are,
with your colleagues in the White House and Congress, doomed to go down the same
road of political-military defeat as your predecessors in Indo-China. Your
military police will jail thousands of civilians and perhaps many more. They
will be interrogated, tortured and perhaps some will be "broken".
But many more
will take their place. Your policy of security through intimidation will
"hold"
only as long as the armored cars in each neighborhood point their cannons at
every building. But how long can you sustain it? As soon as you move, the
insurgents will return: they can continue for months and years because they live
and work there. You can't. You run a costly colonial army, which suffers endless
casualties. Sooner or later, the folks back home will force you to leave.
Your ambitions, General Petraeus, exceed your abilities. Best start preparing
your farewell to arms and look toward a higher post in Washington. Remember your
chances are slim: Only winning generals or draft dodgers are elected President.
There is always a professorship at the Kennedy School at Harvard for the
"warrior intellectual" who is good at the books but a failure in the field.
###
FINAL COMMENTS BY CR:
"When I despair, I remember that all through history the way of truth and love has always won. There have been tyrants and murderers, and for a time they seem invincible but in the end, they always fall -- think of it, ALWAYS." -- “Mahatma” (Great Soul) Gandhi
PSS: The international "banksters" and war profiteers have been behind every major war of the last 200 years. Now they are punishing Iran economically with the same hubris and chutzpah that has manipulated world economies to the point of COLLAPSE of the oxymoronic "economics of scarcity". In other words, an extraordinary ABUNDANCE of virtually free energy power and healing wisdom -- cultured by an abundance of LOVE at the heart of our instant-everywhere-interactive Internet connection -- is now READY to transform and transcend the "end game" of scarcity economics, providing the abundant life that is our rightful inheritance and divine destiny. It is time for a Golden Age cultured by the Golden Rule/Law Language of, by and for the "angels or our better nature". -CR
~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~
In the News - March 14th, 2007
[BEWARE THE PORTENTS OF ECONOMIC COLLAPSE AND WWIII]
Asian, European
Stocks Plunge
http://www.truthout.org/docs_2006/031407B.shtml
Asian stocks plunged Wednesday and European shares
opened sharply lower after Wall Street chalked its second-biggest point drop in
four years and rattled already nervous markets worldwide.
<cut>
Iran War Planning and
the Seymour Hersh Mystery
http://www.truthout.org/docs_2006/031407A.shtml
"Let me see if I've got
this straight...." Tom
Engelhart begins, in his urgent exploration of the recent investigative
reporting on Iran war-planning by Seymour Hersh. Engelhardt
describes the lack of attention:
"A journalist essentially
writing bloody murder in a giant media and governmental crowd. In this
case, no one in the mainstream evidently cares - not yet anyway - to pay
the slightest attention. It seems that there's a crime going on and no
one gives a damn."<cut>
Beyond A Doubt (3-13-07)
http://www.rense.com/general75/bey.htm
Yesterday these same Pelosi-democrats caved-in on their pending
legislation that would have forced Bush to get permission from the
Congress before attacking Iran (war number 3). Where does all this
Double-Speak leave the voters and that 70% of the population that
wants to stop-the-war and bring the troops home? Without a doubt,
this leaves us high and dry-frustrated once-again by the same system
many "looked-to" to change the course that 'the Decider' has sworn
to maintain. Now the world
is looking at thirty days till Pandora's box gets opened in the
Middle East, and all of
the above will 'Beyond a Doubt' become nothing but another
damning footnote to this 'ancient history,' that will underpin the
run-up to World War III
<cut>
Foreclosures May Hit 1.5 Million in U.S. Housing Bust
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ahwzaBwuNaII&refer=home
March 12 (Bloomberg) -- Hold on to your assets. The deepest housing
decline in 16 years is about to get worse. <cut>
NOTE: The obsession of bankers and Corporate America with short-term profit has been printing money, floating credit and making housing loans to people that would normally never qualify. Now the inside traders and war profiteers are banking on a bigger war and martial law to consolidate everyone's "fear of loss" that will leverage a greater terror to surrender freedom for security until we have neither freedom nor security. Beware the draconian war powers that would suspend the Constitution and utilize Haliburton's new concentration camps for those pesky patriots who find fault with these destructive policies. Do you see something wrong with this picture? More important, are you interested in the Big Picture of systemic transformation and healing of this mess? -CR
~~~~~~~~~
"We have had our last
chance.
If we do not now devise some greater and more equitable system,
Armageddon will be at our door. The problem is basically theological
and involves a spiritual renewal and improvement of human character.
It must be of the spirit, if
we are to save the flesh."
- Gen. Douglas MacArthur, who understood the ultimate
solution to wars and the defeat of evil
"Power always thinks it has a
great soul and vast views beyond the
comprehension of the weak; and that it is doing God's service when
it is violating all his laws."
- John Adams,
Founding Father and 2nd U.S. President
"....whenever
any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends
(of Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness), it is the Right of the
People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government,
laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in
such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and
Happiness..."
- Declaration of Independence of the American Colonies, 1776
~~~~~~~~~